EUR/USD: Bullish move stalling near 38.2% Fibo

FXStreet (Mumbai) - The uptick in the EUR/USD ran out of steam as it neared 1.0974 (38.2% of Aug high-Dec low), but remains comfortably in the positive territory around 1.0950 levels.

Hovers around Wednesday’s low

The pair now trades around the previous day’s high of 1.0956 levels. The pair bounced-off from 1.08 levels after the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps as expected on Dec 17th. However, the gains have been capped around 1.10 levels since the Fed surprised markets with a hawkish Dot chart.

At the current prices of 1.0956, the pair is almost 9.5% below the last year’s closing price of 1.2099. Hence, a yearly loss for the pair is a done deal.

EUR/USD Technical Levels

The immediate resistance is seen at 1.0974 (38.2% of Aug high-Dec low), above which the pair could target 1.1006 (50% of 1.1495-1.0517). On the other hand, a break below 1.0940 (61.8% of Mar-Aug rally) would open doors for a drop to 1.0890 (38.2% of 1.1495-1.0517).

The Third Avenue’s decision to liquidate raised fears of a junk bond crisis

Given that interest were held at record low levels by the Federal Reserve for almost seven years it is hardly surprising to note that risk taking on Wall Street had increased manifold. Investors had all flocked to Wall Street looking for higher returns in their bond portfolios. The nominal dividend yield on these stocks exceeds that of the 10-year Treasury note. This feature increased the lucrativeness of the bond market for investors who were reeling under the impact of prolonged low interest rates. Yields are extremely high on junk bonds as they are among the riskiest bonds one could purchase. People are ready to take risk of default given the tempting reward.
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