Indian Rupee: State-bank selling caps gains – Societe Generale

Societe Generale highlights that state-controlled banks in India have been actively selling Dollars for a second day after USD/INR briefly moved above its 50-day moving average. The report notes that supportive factors such as FPI debt inflows and lower Oil and Gold prices are being offset by hawkish Federal Reserve repricing. RBI’s net short USD position expanded sharply in May before recent policy steps.

Indian banks lean against Dollar strength

"In Asia, state-controlled banks of India actively sold dollars for second straight day this morning following a brief return of USD/INR above the 50dma (95.03) yesterday."

"Tailwinds of FPIs debt portfolio inflows, lower oil and gold prices have been negated by hawkish repricing of the Fed."

"Yesterday’s minor pullback in front-end US yields on Warsh’s inflation comments were brushed aside."

"Data shows the net short USD book of the RBI expanded by $11.4bn to record $106.7bn in May before policy measures announced by the RBI/MoF in early June."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

CEE FX: Mixed PMI and inflation keep zloty capped – ING

Frantisek Taborsky at ING notes diverging PMI signals in Central Europe, with strong Czech sentiment and weaker Poland, but still expects Polish growth above 3% in 2026. Softer Polish inflation and a potentially dovish National Bank of Poland outlook are reflected in modest rate-cut pricing.
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USD/JPY Price Forecast: Dollar finds support at previous resistance area around 161.00

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