6 Nov 2014
EUR/USD: Options rolling off, plenty of scope for volatility - FXWW
FXStreet (Bali) - Sean Lee, Founder at FXWW, notes that after most of the bigger options in EUR/USD have now rolled off ahead of the ECB, there is plenty of scope for intraday moves.
Key Quotes
"It will be a busy day for the EUR/USD today ahead of the ECB decision and statement. Most of the big option expiries which we mentioned earlier this week kept the pair stuck within 70/80 pips of the main expiry level at 1.2500. Most of the bigger options have now rolled off, allowing plenty of scope for intraday movements."
"The speculative market is short and bearish on the EUR and they are hoping for another dovish ECB statement. The benchmark rate will stay at 0.05% and the deposit rate at -0.2%, but it’s the policy statement which the market will be eyeing with keen interest."
"A dovish statement might convince some of the big reserve managers to dump on the EUR whereas a more neutral commentary will likely lead to short covering, especially on the crosses."
Key Quotes
"It will be a busy day for the EUR/USD today ahead of the ECB decision and statement. Most of the big option expiries which we mentioned earlier this week kept the pair stuck within 70/80 pips of the main expiry level at 1.2500. Most of the bigger options have now rolled off, allowing plenty of scope for intraday movements."
"The speculative market is short and bearish on the EUR and they are hoping for another dovish ECB statement. The benchmark rate will stay at 0.05% and the deposit rate at -0.2%, but it’s the policy statement which the market will be eyeing with keen interest."
"A dovish statement might convince some of the big reserve managers to dump on the EUR whereas a more neutral commentary will likely lead to short covering, especially on the crosses."